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东风股份:烟标整合者,电子烟、功能膜、云印刷构建新利润增长极 | 中国电子烟网

东风股份:烟标整合者,电子烟、功能膜、云印刷构建新利润增长极

东风股份:烟标整合者,电子烟、功能膜、云印刷构建新利润增长极

虽然$东风股份(SH601515)$ 股价波澜不惊,长期波动于11-12元之间,但是,其有可能处于中级波段攻击的前期位置。

东风的主业在于印刷卷烟商标。
    烟标行业确定性内生增长(约10%一15%),源自公司已有中高端卷烟客户的市场份额提升,以及烟标招投标制度推广、三产剥离背景下公司依托自身优势所获 得的新客户突破。未来外延并购有望加快:收购云南陆良福牌彩印拉开了公司依托资金、平台优势进行行业整台的序幕。东风已经布局了烟标全产业链,一体化优势 领先同行,成本更可控,品质有保障。公司客户结构以中高端卷烟品牌为主,三类以上卷烟占公司收入的80%以上,盈利能力领先,毛利率始终比同行高10个百 分点以上;

新业务之电子烟:
    中国烟民基数大,电子烟发展前景诱人。2013年美国电子烟市场规模约为10亿美元,而我国吸烟人数3.5亿人,烟民数量约是美国的6一7倍,因此国内电 子烟市场前景值得期待。考虑到电子烟单价普遍在50一200元/套(1支电子烟抽吸次数约等于1—2包传统卷烟抽吸次数),因此消费群体主要是中高档卷烟 消费者。目前我国中高档卷烟的市场规模约7000亿元(保守估计),假设电子烟渗透率达到3%一5%,则市场空间约210亿元一350亿元。若未来技术的 进步以及规模效应的发挥使得电子烟价格下降,消费群体进一步扩大到全部烟民,则市场空间会进一步扩大。
    近年来我国烟民对电子烟消费已呈逐渐接受趋势。2013年以来,淘宝等电商渠道的电子烟搜索里与成交指数均呈逐渐增长趋势,最近七天“电子烟”的搜索指数环比增长28.4%,与去年同期相比增长了265.9%。

新业务之功能膜:
    FET基膜业务是公司沿烟标产业链延伸战略的阶段性成果,达产后一方面将保证公司烟标原材料的品质,提升产品性能,降低原材料成本的价格波动风险;另一方面能丰富公司产品线,提高公司的盈利能力。
    功能膜业务是公司在FET基膜基础上,自主研发的功能性薄膜产品,目前主要是汽车防爆隔热膜。于2015年1月16日发布的“能膜”品牌,有助于公司开拓新业务,分散目前经营业绩依赖烟标业务的经营风险,培育新利润增长点。
    膜业务已是公司未来着力打造的三大战略板块之一。公司未来将着力打造“烟标、酒标印刷”、“PET基膜与功能膜”、“电子烟”三大战略板块,在膜业务上公 司一方面自主研发,另一方面通过收购有技术或产品优势的功能膜公司《已收购可逸塑胶),增强公司在高附加值功能膜产品的研发生产能力。

新业务之云印刷:
    云印刷是互联网渗透印刷产业的产物,是印刷电商的进阶版,由于采用FTP、CTP提高了接单和生产的效率,并减少了印刷行业的中间环节,可以使得印刷企业 和消费者获得更多福利,成为印刷行业的新兴方向。前期测算国内云印刷市场能够达到400亿元规模,目前各个参与者也都处于发展初期,新进入者仍然大有可 为。
    国内的云印刷行业刚刚起步,健豪、eprint等港台企业已经在港台地区取得了成功,eprint成立于2001年,拥有云印刷网络平台及成熟的互联网云印刷资讯系统,以及13家“e-print”门店和3家“Invoice”门店,还有十多年的运营经验,目前能够做到印刷 产品下单后一到两日内领取或交付,2012年在拥有零售渠道的香港印刷公司中份额达到45.7%。云印刷本质是电商,从软硬件建设到运营服务都需要借鉴成 功企业经验,eprint的十几年管理经验对进军国内云印刷市场大有帮助。

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