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疫情对国内外电子烟行业有多大影响? | 中国电子烟网

疫情对国内外电子烟行业有多大影响?

根据中国电子商会电子烟行业委员会数据,疫情以来,国内外电子烟行业面临了不同程度的机遇和挑战:

中国:中国是全球电子烟的生产基地,仅烟具就占据全球95%的份额。美国、英国分别是全球第一、第二大消费国,是中国电子烟最重要的消费国。国内电子烟企业已陆续于2月底复工,3月份基本实现满员复工。疫情期间,海外订单需求旺盛,1-4月份出口额预估为100亿人民币,与2019同期持平,且四月份实现快速增长。同时,不少国内电子烟企业也在加大投资力度,包括产品研发和设备投入等方面,在“特殊时期”也抓紧提升自身实力。我们认为,这意味着从业者对行业未来发展的看好。

美国:美国是全球电子烟第一大消费市场,占全球份额50%以上,是全球电子烟行业的风向标,也是行业最关注的市场。根据美国电子烟技术交流行业协会(VTA)数据,疫情带来的影响于3月中旬开始。首先是进口放缓,导致分销商无法运输产品。在实行《stay at home》限制令的43州中,仅有10个州的电子烟零售店仍然营业,有3个州只允许路边送货。但这些店自己的产品供货也较为困难。在美国的烟油制造商们还将其生产线转换为洗手液,以支援抗疫。6月,几乎全部州已经恢复营业,仅有部分地区暂未复开。值得注意的是,在VTA的要求下,FDA对电子烟企业的PMTA最后期限从2020年5月12日延长至2020年9月9日,为全球意图开拓美国市场的电子烟企业争取了时间。目前,中国头部电子烟企业如麦克韦尔(母公司思摩尔已于港股上市)、悦刻等均在备战PMTA。

英国:英国是全球最支持电子烟的国家,也是中国电子烟出口的第二大国家。根据英国电子烟行业协会(UKVIA)数据,英国目前有3000多家电子烟店铺,较去年增10%。英国电子烟零售店自3月24日暂停门店服务,已于6月中旬复开。总体来看,总销售额降低了30%-60%,其中开放式电子烟产品销量下降了60%,但由于许多门店转为线上销售并提供配送服务,线上销售额增长了1500%。此外,由于政府给予了补贴,导致这些店尽管营业额下降,但利润在上升。UKVIA认为,疫情期间英国供应链受损主要是因为来自中国的供应不足,这使他们意识到要确保与中国建立稳定而有保障的供应链。

欧洲:根据欧洲电子烟协会(IEVA)数据,受疫情影响,自3月起,德国和大多数欧盟国家的电子烟实体店被要求关闭,直到5月中旬才陆续开放。疫情期间,由于电子烟销量受到影响,从而引起批发商和工厂面临着库存积压和现金流的压力;同期的电子烟展会也被取消。同时由于政府实施严格的卫生标准和运费成本上升,导致产品成本整体约上涨10%-20%,这些费用主要由批发商承担,这也使批发价和零售价至今仍整体保持稳定。IEVA预测,欧洲电子烟市场规模2020年增速为8.0%。目前,开放式电子烟产品仍为欧洲消费者喜欢的款式,协会认为,稳健的电子烟消费者(包括从其他产品转换过来的和有经验的消费者)将是未来欧洲市场的主要潜力。

新型烟草近期建议关注:国际供应链:思摩尔(全球最大雾化设备生产商);亿纬锂能(持股思摩尔);盈趣科技(IQOS 精密件二级供应商)。国内供应链:劲嘉股份(携手云南中烟、小米生态链卡位新型烟草主渠道)、集友股份(布局新型烟草研发及产业化)、东风股份(参股布局新型烟草制品)、顺灏股份(烟弹烟具布局双管齐下)、华宝股份及华宝国际(烟用香精及新型烟草原料布局领先)、中国波顿(收购国际电子烟厂商吉瑞)。

风险提示:新型烟草政策变动/技术开发风险,销售/企业发展不及预期

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